Will sealed collecting be as big of a hit for newer systems as it was for older systems?

I feel that part of the appeal of sealed collecting is that you have an item that is a rarity. Back in the NES days, everyone was thinking about playing the games. Collecting didn't really become a thing until over a decade later. So the vast majority of games that were bought got opened and played. Most sealed games were unsold stock that made its way into the age of collecting. So sealed games were pretty rare.



Nowadays, a lot of people buy new sealed games with the intention of collecting it, so they keep them sealed. If so many people are holding onto sealed games for current gen consoles, then sealed games for these newer consoles will be less of a rarity than sealed games for older consoles. Since they are less rare, they should not be valued as highly by collectors.



What do you think?

Comments

  • No chance, you nailed it that it's all about the rarity and no one was keeping the old stuff. Once the masses know something is worth money it's already too late to start. Buy the rumor, sell the news.
  • I mostly agree with Brian, but to be clear, I think regardless of the dynamic the sealed game will always be worth the most. Rarity is important but the big difference is that long running series that everyone loves won't hold much value. What will be worth the value are things like sleeper titles that maybe sell 20k copies and are later discovered as being awesome. But, to Brian's point, video game collecting is now an "it" thing to do so there are plenty of people out there collecting sealed copies of every game for any given system. Will there time and money have a payday making their efforts worth it? Probably not. It's true, they might have the rarest Switch or PS4 titles and in 20 years thay might be worth $300 to maybe even $1000+ But how much junk did they have to buy to be sure that in two decades they'd have the two or three "grails" for the system.
  • Not a chance.



    Take a look at Limited Run Games. They started out by printing the lease amount of games they can possibly order from their respective platforms. The fact that they're called limited run games tells us that they know they're selling to a collectors market.



    The only games that will be valuable in the future are fan favorite games, cult classic games, cult favorite publisher libraries (e.g. Altus, FROM Software, etc), j-RPGs, and oddball games that get pulled from shelves early in their release, or games that didn't see a full release but few retail copies got out.



    The real collectible market in the future is going to be consoles with a high amount of downloaded content in them that don't require an online connection, and consoles with rare DLC and downloadable games installed.



    Willing to bet that hackers will even collapse that market eventually by figuring out how to install ROMs of DLC onto official consoles.
  • There's the rarity Dynamics people have mentioned but there's also the market. We don't collect cards the way my parents generation did. I don't see kids being as interested in collecting games as we are.
  • Nah the only thing that might have value is the usual Mario etc. But even then probably not
  • Nope.



    Who will give a shit about a sealed PS4 game? No one.
  • I'm surprised that there's so much dismissiveness toward the prospect of newer systems one day being hot for sealed collectors. It really could happen. Assuming that newer is the 360 through to the current systems, I'd say that there definitely will be some interest, because there already is interest! For those going for full sets of physical releases, sealed games are desirable because the collector doesn't have to worry about them being complete with manual and any other paperwork inserts (assuming that the seal is genuine). This is actually a huge issue for those who collect for newer systems, as quite a few newer games don't even have any sort of manual at all. It's bad enough that publishers have cheapened out on the quality of game cases, but they don't even include a proper manual! The better publishers still do include manuals, and so this inconsistency between games (esp. on the 360) has more than once meant that I've actually passed up good deals on rarer 360 and PS3 titles in the wild because I incorrectly assumed that they were incomplete, when in fact they never even had a manual to begin with. Even worse is that there's rarely any good info on this online, and what info does exist it takes a bit of hunting to find if it even can be located and verified.



    Buying a sealed copy eliminates the question of completeness, and also has a related benefit: unboxing vids/pics. Just as collectors nowadays are documenting all the things that came with various older games even by opening up sealed games from years ago, so to will future collectors.



    Another advantage is that, at least with the Wii and 360, a lot of the games never made it onto any digital marketplace, and likely never will. Physical copies will command a premium in the years to come, and sealed copies will sell for even higher amounts because a sealed game almost always means a clean and scratch-free disc. As an example of this, look up Operation Darkness for the 360 some time. If you've never even heard of it, know that it's a 360 exclusive by Atlus, and that alone should draw your interest. If you have heard of it, congrats on knowing your 360! But good luck finding a complete copy with a clean disc.



    Now, there are of course exceptions to almost everything, and the Xbox 1 is one of them. A while back I posted a thread asking about collecting for it, after realizing that nobody else anywhere online was even talking about collecting for that system even after it had been out for several years. Sealed collecting will be next to useless for that system given so many titles for it require massive downloads to properly function.
  • There will always be a market for sealed current gen stuff like ps4.



    But the question was "will it be as big as for older systems".



    No, it wont.
  • agree with wunderbar on this one. Think of it like baseball or hockey cards... worth a tonne, then everyone started collecting so supply met demand and its all worthless, unless you want your bike to sound like a motorcycle. I will happily pay $10 for a game worth $5 if its sealed. So yes there will always be a premium but no it won't have huge value. That said I bought captain skyhawk sealed for 15 bucks the other day and thats a nes game that was $80 new so even old stuff can be worthless  
  • Definitely. The only thing more fragile than a cardboard box in shrink wrap is one of those piece of shit eco-cases that discs come in now. Most of those will decompose over the next couple of decades and the remaining copies will be rare treasures.
  • I got a minty sealed BotW (Wii U) right here. Zelda is hot! Buy now, 0nly $200 L00K R@R3
  • I agree with the people above that believe the sealed game will command a higher price than opened, but not as much as previous generations. I'm also curious how many of the collectors editions will become more valuable and how many of them will just depreciate.



    On a side not, I've been playing a lot of PS3 and have nearly all the games I want; so the other day I was really enjoying playing batman and thought maybe I should get a collectors edition. So as I was looking into collectors editions for a few games I had to think about the PS4. Which versions are definitive? Does it make more sense to get it on the PS4 that is more combatabile with my newer TV?



    In the end I decided that except for Demon Souls and maybe Ghostbusters I might avoid the collectors editions in the PS3
  • I've got another theory that most Xbox (all 3) are going to do nothing because they are American rather than Japanese. People still think Original Xbox is going to do something like Gamecube and some PS2 games have done but I don't. From NES onward, values followed a predicable trajectory where once they hit about 15 years old they started going up. Original Xbox breaks that by acting like Intellivision rather than NES, SNES or Saturn; AKA the few games that are expensive were always expensive and nothing else did or will do anything.



    So sealed Switch/Wii U will always be a way bigger deal than Xbone or 360. And I don't suspect there will be too many cheap Switch games ever. Plenty of NES games hit $10 sealed, but the sheer quantity of NES games sold was totally ridiculous. They're still some of the most common objects in people's houses even today.
  • No is the short answer.



    To add to the discussion, I think it also relates to the strong attachment retro collectors have of their past consoles as opposed to the current gen consoles.



    Back then, we tend to focused on one platform at a time and likely following either a Nintendo or Sega brand (games weren't cheap and not many consoles to choose from!). Nowadays gamers have luxuries to buy 2-3 consoles simultaneously and with various brands. So having more consoles at a given time, likely means less overall attachment (relatively) and less of the nostalgic power to be drawing them into collecting.
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